Category: Futures

Presidential election influenced by debates and hurricanes

According to the Betfair trading graphs of the Presidential Election betting market, debates enhanced Romney’s chance to win the election but during the hurricane Sandy Obama’s odds improved considerably. We can find proof of this statement by taking a look at the implied chance percentage graph of Betfair graphs. Obama’s chance dropped from 85% to…

Obama Favorite to Win Election despite Romney’s Lead in Poll

Romney may have taken the lead in the recent Pew Research Center poll against Obama, however the president of the United States is still odds-on favorite to win next Presidential Election. Not only that, but his chances have been improved considerably since the last time I talked about predictions of election 2012. Back then Obama…

Political Futures Trading: Presidential Election Prediction of Betfair, InTrade and IEM

It seems that the Presidential election is one of the most popular markets in political futures trading! I always thought of Betfair trading to be the best (and probably the only) way to take advantage of an election prediction and make money along the way. That is why I always refer to Betfair when talking…

60% chance of Barack Obama to win next Presidential Election

Barack Obama is currently 60% favorite to win the next Presidential Election in USA according to the betting fixed odds, a percentage that hasn’t changed a lot since the last time I discussed about how to trade the Presidential election’s odds in Betfair. The implied chance graph at the betting exchange shows that Obama has…

Greek Election 2012: Technical Analysis of Betfair Graphs with Ascending and Descending Triangles

This prediction has been confirmed! ND and SYRIZA now trading at even odds! Technical analysis of Betfair price graphs regarding the election in Greece reveals an ascending triangle for Nea Dimokratia party and a descending triangle for SYRIZA. Although volume isn’t sufficient enough for safe conclusions, the betting odds’ graphs show an uptrend when betting…

Sentiment in the oil pits turned negative during the afternoon trading session despite better than expected inventory data released by the Department of Energy.  Oil prices followed US equities lower, which were dragged down by worse than expected earnings from Apple on Tuesday.  WTI declined more than $2 dollars a barrel testing support levels. The…